My 2014 Oscar predictions

How to get invited to the Oscars


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After observing the trend of past Oscar winners and the awards leading up to Hollywood’s big night, I have a rough idea of who might walk away with those coveted golden statuettes.

Here are some of my Oscar predictions for the acting and directing awards for the 86th Academy Awards:

Academy Award Predicted winner
Best Picture 12 Years a Slave
Best Director Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
Best Actor in a Leading Role Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
Best Actress in a Leading Role Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Best Actor in a Supporting Role Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club
Best Actress in a Supporting Role Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave

It seems highly likely that these will be the winners as they have had a pretty consistent winning record this past awards season.

As much as I love J-Law, who beat Lupita Nyong’o to the Golden Globe award earlier this year, I doubt that Lawrence will be able to snatch the Oscar away from Nyong’o. I would love to see Lawrence win of course, because it would mean back-to-back wins for someone who has been nominated thrice in four years at only 23 years of age (Meryl Streep-esque future ahead?). But a convincing performance in a serious period drama, especially one as emotionally heavy as 12 Years a Slave, has always had more chances of winning an Oscar than a convincing performance in a comedic role. The Golden Globes have never really been an accurate predictor for the Oscars anyway.

While Chiwetel Ejiofor beat McConaughey to the BAFTAs, we all know that there is a British bias at Britain’s most prestigious film award (this has been a much discussed topic on the Internet). Not that Ejiofor’s performance was undeserving of an award, but I doubt that his performance would have been considered better than McConaughey’s if he wasn’t British. (This is just my opinion, of course.)

It seems unlikely that one film will sweep up most of the awards this year (à la Titanic at the 70th Academy Awards) , though 12 Years a Slave and Gravity (especially for special effects) will probably snag up the most awards for the night.

Let’s see how many I get right.

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